Feom what I can gather from the government statistic website the number of tests is much lowe that that. The three hundred housing includes antigen testing which is not what is needed for the test and trace and communication management. Propped swab tests aiming to answer ‘have I got it’ is nearer 200,000 in the whole uk at the start of this week. I wonder what the number is for the end of the week because there were none available in Birmingham and surrounding areas.bonio wrote: ↑Fri Sep 11, 2020 11:37 pmIf you're right then they must be completely incompetent. Despite trying their best to keep the test count down, they've actually seen them rise from around 3000 a day to almost 300,000. An omnishambles.James in Brum wrote: ↑Fri Sep 11, 2020 7:50 pmI think they don’t want the tests. Without tests it is a lot of people choosing to isolate in response to advice ‘to be sure and safe’
With tests it is evidence of climbing numbers in the population and evidence to prove a rising R and that heir strategy is a crock.
The pressure that schools and health providers are on to be open or be more open right now belies sense.
The 200k (uk wide) is not a massive raise day on day,
There were sixty thousand tests done in England per day in the start of the week, looks like almost none in the last day or so.
Regarding three thousand a day it’s been much higher that that since before mid April according to their site.
Given that there are 11.7million school age children in the England, each of whom must have 1 more member of their household so 23.4 million people as a guess (some multi children single parent families some 2 and 2 and so on so is an innacurate number but useful for thinking I think) incidence in England of 19.7 per 1000 people (https://assets.publishing.service.gov.u ... _FINAL.pdf) the number of tests needed to test people likely to have it would be 24 million x 2 % which is 480,000.
According to the daily mail 5 days ago (I won’t link it showed up on google) 2.5 percent of tests that are taken are positive. So at current rates we would need about 25millon tests to find those in the school going family population that have it.
I would welcome some arguming against my workings here.